The Russo-Ukraine War is the bloodiest, most extensive and most dangerous war of our time. It has now been eighteen months since Russia's invasion of Ukraine and nine months since Richard Iron's last strategic analysis of the war. There is absolutely no certainty of how this war will evolve over the coming months nor how, eventually, it might end.

Richard Iron will explore the effectiveness of Ukrainian counter offences and the consequences of the battle over the Black Sea, an increasingly important area of military and geopolitical tensions. He will look particularly at the state of Russian internal politics, Putin's authority after the Wagner Group mutiny and the possibility of regime collapse.


Can either side achieve their military goals? How is Western support for Ukraine holding up in light of recent events? What does this mean for Ukraine's future?

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